Wildfire Prediction & Mitigation Detailed To-Do List

Initial #33

1. Data Collection and Preparation #34

  • Load and inspect the wildfire dataset (e.g., satellite imagery, ground sensor data).
  • Verify the format of the dataset (CSV, GeoJSON, etc.) and ensure it’s clean.
  • Handle missing data by either filling or dropping it based on analysis.
  • Remove duplicates or irrelevant data points.
  • Identify and handle outliers that may skew results.

2. Data Exploration and Preprocessing

  • Perform an initial analysis using pandas to understand data distribution.
  • Clean and preprocess geospatial data (e.g., coordinates of wildfire locations, weather stations).
  • Extract relevant features (e.g., wind speed, temperature, humidity, vegetation type).
  • Normalize or standardize numerical features where necessary.
  • Categorize temporal data (dates and times) and convert into usable formats.

3. Satellite Imagery & Remote Sensing Data

  • Collect and preprocess satellite images (MODIS, VIIRS, or Landsat [CSV]).
  • Implement image processing techniques to enhance satellite data (e.g., image super-resolution for fire hotspots).
  • Extract features from imagery (e.g., heatmaps, infrared signatures).
  • Combine multiple sources of satellite data to improve detection accuracy and reduce latency.
  • Use machine learning models to classify areas of interest (fire hotspots, smoke plumes).

4. Environmental and Meteorological Data Integration

  • Gather weather data (wind speed, temperature, humidity) and integrate with fire-related data.
  • Map geographical features like terrain, vegetation, and water sources.
  • Process environmental data to calculate fire risk based on historical conditions.
  • Explore relationships between environmental data and fire occurrence (e.g., dry spells leading to increased fire risk).

5. Early Detection Models

  • Develop machine learning models for early fire detection (e.g., convolutional neural networks for smoke detection).
  • Train and evaluate models for predicting fire ignition risk based on meteorological data.
  • Implement real-time smoke detection using UAVs and ground-based sensors.
  • Test models on historical wildfire datasets and tune for improved accuracy.

6. Fire Spread Simulation and Prediction

  • Model fire spread using physical-based models (e.g., FARSITE) and machine learning models (e.g., reinforcement learning).
  • Integrate real-time data to simulate fire spread under various conditions (wind, terrain, humidity).
  • Build predictive models using environmental inputs to estimate fire growth and direction.
  • Test fire spread models on historical wildfire data for validation.
  • Implement dynamic, real-time adjustments to the simulation based on live satellite and sensor data.

7. Wildfire Resource Allocation and Evacuation Plans

  • Develop an AI-powered resource allocation system for firefighting (e.g., deployment of teams, water drops, and aircraft).
  • Create evacuation route planning systems using real-time fire data to recommend the safest routes.
  • Implement multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) for optimizing firefighting strategies.
  • Simulate different firefighting strategies to identify the most efficient ones.

8. Correlation and Feature Analysis

  • Analyze correlations between wildfire spread and environmental features (wind speed, vegetation, etc.).
  • Perform statistical analysis to understand how different factors influence fire behavior.
  • Visualize correlations between satellite imagery, weather patterns, and fire locations.
  • Build feature importance models to identify the most critical variables in wildfire prediction.

9. Wildfire Risk and Impact Assessment

  • Create a risk assessment model to predict areas with high likelihood of wildfires.
  • Assess the potential damage by predicting fire impacts on infrastructure, communities, and wildlife.
  • Develop a spatial model to predict the potential spread of wildfires and their impact on populated areas.

10. Data Visualization and Reporting

  • Create visualizations of satellite data to display wildfire hotspots and smoke patterns.
  • Generate heatmaps and choropleth maps to represent wildfire risk areas across regions.
  • Design interactive dashboards to display real-time data on wildfire activity and predictions.
  • Build a reporting system to summarize predictions and wildfire behavior for decision-making authorities.

11. Model Deployment & Real-Time Monitoring

  • Deploy early detection models in real-time systems (e.g., using cloud platforms like AWS, Google Cloud).
  • Set up a monitoring system to track the status of fire outbreaks and model predictions.
  • Integrate weather data and fire risk models for continuous, adaptive predictions.
  • Ensure the system can process new satellite data as soon as it becomes available for faster detection.

12. Validation and Model Evaluation

  • Validate all models using cross-validation techniques and historical data.
  • Test the system’s predictions against actual wildfire occurrences and update models accordingly.
  • Evaluate the system’s scalability and accuracy with large-scale wildfire datasets.
  • Perform model performance tests to ensure high recall and precision in detecting fires and forecasting their spread.

13. Reporting and Feedback for Improvements

  • Analyze the results from the simulation and real-time monitoring systems.
  • Generate detailed reports on model performance and wildfire predictions.
  • Collect user feedback (e.g., firefighting teams, government agencies) for improvements.
  • Implement feedback loops to refine models and prediction systems based on real-world outcomes.